Clear majority of 46th Ward votes against Cappleman
It’s unofficial, but I think it’s safe to say the runoff will be Marianne Lalonde vs. Cappleman. It was a real nail biter but all night and through the next day Marianne Lalonde led the challengers against Cappleman. Election results server and its details have been intermittent, but here are the latest numbers from the Unofficial Summary Report, printed and data refreshed Friday, March 1, 2019 5:01 PM.
How fortunate our community is to have so many caring and committed people trying to help everyone
Every time I see this picture, I imagine a team of superheroes ready to fly off or turn into transformers or something. Oy vey iz mir Yehuda, you are losing it in your old age, eh?
A year ago, I would considered any one of the challengers G-d sent. Who would have guessed 5 worthy challengers to Cappleman would end up running against him. How fortunate our community is to have so many caring and committed people trying to help everyone.
Kudos to all the challengers for staying professional and above the fray as supporters battled. Sometimes, it wasn’t pretty and as in all politics apparently, friendships have been frayed and worse. Moving forward into the runoffs I ask for unity, the task ahead is still formidable. My thanks and prayers are for everyone whether we battled or not. And special thanks for the challengers themselves.
What a difficult job running for office is. What a love for the people of the 46th Ward it must take to go through all that extra hard work. It is beyond my capacity, that is for sure. I truly admire all of you – Angela Clay, Erika Wozniak Francis, Justin Kreider, Jon-Robert McDowell and Marianne Lalonde – you are all amazing people.
All politicians do the obligatory soft sell stuff, pictures with babies or in classrooms with children, but if a woman does get in politics, much of the electorate is more comfortable with the woman as helpmate rather than leader image.
Sorry not me. There are many aspects of being an alderman that truly do need empathetic and nurturing leadership, but still half the job is downtown in City Council. I was in real estate, venture capital and large scale information technology for over 40 years. I know how those guys roll.
We are talking about a multi-billion dollar budget and multi-billion dollars of properties and businesses, these guys don’t play. Don’t send teachers and preachers to spar with these guys, unless they are Neil deGrasse Tyson or Martin Luther King is all I have to say. History is full of evidence that what I am saying is true.
With no negative on any other candidate, I think the 46th Ward is fortunate to have a candidate of Marianne Lalonde’s calibre. If you don’t see she is leagues above the other candidates, you haven’t talked to her enough.
Most of the time I’m not big on titles or degrees, but she earned the right to be called Doctor Lalonde, she has a PhD, and from Northwestern no less. Still most just call her Marianne.
I know this from first hand observation, while other viable and semi-viable candidates were learning their stump speeches, in some cases discovering that people care about corruption and housing more today than education solving all problems after they are dead, Marianne was out the gate and moment one completely fluent and far beyond. When she speaks to you, she’s done her homework, it’s not just some fuzzy better world, it’s specifics, laws and negotiations, and how they relate to you, from someone who has actually written enacted laws unlike the rest of the pack, unless you want to count pigeon ordinances…
Of the 3 meet and greet the candidate talks I have been to, only one candidate didn’t have their handler interrupt the candidate and explain something to the crowd for them – Marianne Lalonde.
If you were playing with your own money and life (and you are) you would hire the best and most qualified. Marianne is that person. If you don’t know that yet, find out fast.
The worst possible runoff election scenario is a 100% guaranteed Cappleman reelection win
46th Ward incumbent Alderman Cappleman knows everything I have to say here is true. He may be a horrible person and alderman, but he has the people and money to poll and predict with accuracy various election outcomes. He understands just who lives in the 46th Ward today, who votes, how they vote and how prepared challenging campaigns are to ultimately win a runoff election with 50% +1 votes. Some of his challengers also have this same type of information, perhaps not all of them.
Understand that Cappleman is the only candidate polling within the realms of possibility to win outright the February 26, 2019 election. He can be unseated but if we don’t focus on a challenger that can win a runoff and vote our tushies off, Cappleman is reelected in the 1st round.
Most voters view general and runoff elections from the current point and move forward in time. Let’s go backwards from the end point instead, and focus on the runoff election should there be one, with no wishing on a star, no thoughts and prayers, just facts.
I’m not even going to waste any of our time discussing a runoff election with Justin Kreindler or Jon-Robert McDowell. It is impossible, 100% impossible, it will never happen in this year’s elections. This is math folks, 100% and impossible have unchangeable meanings.
It is very simple, if there is a runoff, Cappleman will be in the runoff with one of the women challengers. Great news, but hold on…
1st up, Angela Clay. Just pretend Angela Clay somehow got to the runoff election. I’m being quick because I know very few read long scholarly blog posts. Clay vs. Cappleman is a 100% guaranteed Cappleman win. It could be that 4 years from now, Angela will have spent a year before the election organizing, fundraising and building a coalition of support that is wide enough to win over half the 46th Ward’s votes, but not in today’s 3 months. 2019 is not going to happen for her, but she could guarantee a Cappleman reelection. I’m left of progressive, I wish this wasn’t true, but it is true. If you want to make an idealistic vote that will reelect Cappleman in the runoff, vote for Angela Clay.
As for the February 26, 2019 election and Angela, every non-Cappleman vote propels us closer to a runoff, so it is a very good thing to vote for Angela, as long as it’s not Angela that faces Cappleman in the runoff.
2nd and 3rd up, Marianne Lalonde and Erika Wozniak Francis. Only Marianne Lalonde and Erika Wozniak Francis have started their campaigns early enough to do the groundwork, fundraising, coalition building and can appeal to a wide enough swath of the 46th Ward to 50% +1 Cappleman in the April 2019 runoff election.
There isn’t going to be a challenger vs. challenger runoff. I repeat Cappleman will be in the runoff if he doesn’t outright win the February 26, 2019 election.
It’s beyond personal, I’ve watched enough people suffer for years under the inequity and corruption of Alderman Cappleman. If Cappleman wins, the 46th Ward loses. If Cappleman wins, real people will hurt. It’s way beyond some petty Facebook drama folks, think about it.
What you believe, what you hope for, what someone told you, how nice these candidates are, how good their platforms might be, some half-false ethical roadblock for you or whatever, will change none of what I have said here.
All I ask is: If you are not voting for Marianne Lalonde or Erika Wozniak Francis, be honest with yourself that you like the candidate you are voting for or something about them so much you are willing to reelect Cappleman.
So there you go, if you can’t part the seas of mathematics like Moses, you need a new plan. 100%, 50%+1, zero, impossible, possible, reality, these are terms that defy redefinition.
In a legislative world where most closely hug the status quo and powers that be, Marianne Lalonde said “We deserve better“.
I am not easily impressed, but Marianne impresses me. In a world of future promises, Marianne hit the trail, with actions way before she announced her candidacy. As I noted in READ THIS: Before you vote for 46th Ward Alderman: “Marianne is a doer not a talker, whether it’s being President of the LANA block club, helping put rent control on ballot, spearheading the LSD Wilson Avenue exit removal resistance, as a member of the Clarendon Park Advisory Council, part of the committee to save Uplift, serving at Sarah’s Circle, supporting tiny houses or other things.”
I think the 46th Ward has a lot to look forward to with Marianne as 46th Ward Alderman, consider what she has already shown us.
Sorry to change the subject but in parting can we change the official titles to include alderwoman or alderperson now? Geesh… this old school stuff is tiring…
You need residential and commercial buildings. You need education and labor. These are all great things for the common good.
For the common good is the key phrase here. Anything good in excess becomes bad, it’s a very simple fact. Now the 46th Ward of Chicago has had 8 years of incumbent Alderman Cappleman in a state of real estate developer excess. That industry owns him to the detriment of the common good. This needs to change, he needs to be voted out and replaced, period.
Today in 2019, we have 2 challengers to Cappleman, that realistically can actually unseat him, Marianne Lalonde and Erika Wozniak Francis.
In 2015, we only had one viable challenger candidate. Either you voted for the viable candidate, voted for Cappleman directly, voted for Cappleman indirectly by voting for a nonviable candidate or voted for Cappleman indirectly by not voting. Cappleman won.
In 2019, it’s a little bit more complex with some extra twist, but not all that different. We have 2 viable challenger candidates and 3 nonviable challenger candidates. By viable, I mean realistically can actually win the election and beat Cappleman.
Either you vote for the non-developer and non-union owned viable candidate Mariane Lalonde, vote for the union owned viable candidate Erika Wozniak Francis, vote for developer owned Cappleman directly, vote for Cappleman indirectly by voting for one of the 3 nonviable candidates or vote for Cappleman indirectly by not voting.
Folks, the 5 challengers to Cappleman all seem to be and I’m sure they are wonderful wonderful people. Being decent, compassionate, talented, and well meaning are all essential components of what could be a very good, even great alderman. Cappleman obviously fails in these categories as well as his prioritization of outside interests and inanimate objects over the common good.
There is much more to being the best choice to vote for, than those components though. A lot more to it. In the 46th Ward 2019 election for alderman, it’s an easy decision if you care about the common good.
Do vote for non-owned Marianne Lalonde. Don’t vote for developer owned Cappleman. Don’t vote for union owned Erika Wozniak Francis. Don’t vote for the non-viable candidates, which is the same thing as voting for Cappleman. Don’t stay home, which again is the same thing as voting for Cappleman.
Believe me, Cappleman is thrilled with the non-viable candidates. Don’t tell yourself that you are a big ‘Anyone But Cappleman’ person if you vote for a non-viable candidate. Maybe you need a real deep self-honesty session with the facts. I know it hurts – I feel for you totally. Reality can be a drag, but voting for a non-viable candidate IS voting for Cappleman, so if you do you are voting for Cappleman.
Trading one unbalanced developer owned candidate for another unbalanced union owned candidate may be a slight improvement but why move 10% when you can move much farther towards the common good?
There are only 2 viable challengers to Cappleman and one is union owned and no matter that she is a great person, poised to deliver an unbalanced representation for the common good. The other is non owned Marianne Lalonde, balanced in all areas and the best candidate for the common good of the 46th Ward.